Civil war likely to happen in decade – More than 40% of Americans Believe

Americans about changes in the U.S. political climate, including whether divisions have worsened and what they expect in the future. We find that most Americans believe divisions have gotten worse since the start of 2021. Most expect them to grow in the coming years. Two in five Americans believe a civil war is at least somewhat likely in the next decade. Republicans are more likely than Democrats to expect civil war.

According to the survey conducted by the Britain-based data company. YouGov and the Economist, around 43 percent of Americans believe a civil war is at least somewhat likely in the next 10 years.

Among strong Democrats and independents that figure was 40 percent. But among strong Republicans, it was 54 percent that see a civil war somewhat likely.

Two-thirds of Americans (66%) believe that political divisions in this country have gotten worse since the beginning of 2021, compared to only 8% who say the country has grown less divided. Few see things improving in the coming years: 62% expect an increase in political divisions.

Americans think a civil war is at least somewhat likely to occur in the next decade — a figure that jumps to 50 per cent among supporters of Donald Trump — highlighting the country’s stark political divisions as the midterm elections approach.


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